Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT King Power Stadium
  • Bilal El Khannous 33' yellowcard
  • Wilfred Ndidi 77' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 28'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 67'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 90'

Leicester City vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 2.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 4.30pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 24.19% (-0.14)
Draw 23.13% (-0.02)
Manchester United 52.68% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.53% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.14% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.86% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.62% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.37% (+0.03)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 68.26% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 31.74% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 31.84% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 68.16% (+0.15)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 83.49% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 16.51% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 53.76% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.24% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Leicester City 24.19%
Draw 23.13%
Manchester United 52.68%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 24.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.13%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.44% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.5% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.1% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.3% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 52.68%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 7, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Joshua Zirkzee 68' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 84' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 90'+3' goal
  • goal Bobby Reid 42'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Bruno Fernandes 17' goal
  • Victor Kristansen 38' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 82' goal
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 63'
EFL Cup
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 5 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 15' goal
  • Casemiro 15' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 28' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 36' goal
  • Casemiro 39' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 59' goal
  • yellowcard Caleb Okoli 20'
  • yellowcard Caleb Okoli 21'
  • yellowcard Steve Cooper 21'
  • goal Bilal El Khannous 33'
  • goal Conor Coady 45'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 25' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 56' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 61' goal
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jadon Sancho 23'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Shaw 5' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 49' yellowcard
  • Fred 66' goal
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 16'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 30'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 63'

Build-up

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