Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.