Europa League
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Igor Zubeldia 49' yellowcard
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 70' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 56'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 57'

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Real Sociedad 42.89% (+0.16)
Draw 24.83% (+0.01)
Manchester United 32.28% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.35% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.25% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 45.76% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 31.93% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 68.07% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.03% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 83.98% (+0.05)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 78.64% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.37% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 45.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.34% (-0.07)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 72.94% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 27.07% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 37.57% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 62.44% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 42.89%
Draw 24.82%
Manchester United 32.28%
Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 9% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.93% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.89% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.54% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.82%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.28%

Head to Head

Europa League
Nov 3, 2022 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 17'
Europa League
Sep 8, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • goal Brais Mendez 59'
Europa League
Feb 25, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fred 41' yellowcard
  • Brandon Williams 50' yellowcard
  • Victor Lindelof 65' yellowcard
Europa League
Feb 18, 2021 5.55pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Robin Le Normand 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Wan-Bissaka 8'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 27'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 57'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 65'
  • goal Daniel James 90'
Champions League
Nov 5, 2013 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Markel Bergara 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marouane Fellaini 31'
  • yellowcard Patrice Evra 51'
  • redcard Marouane ­Fellaini 90'
Champions League
Oct 23, 2013 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Inigo Martinez 2' goal
  • Rafael 27' yellowcard
  • Shinji Kagawa 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Vela 22'
  • yellowcard Markel Bergara 39'
  • yellowcard Xabi Prieto 42'

Build-up

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