Real Sociedad logo
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Midtjylland

Real Sociedad
5 - 2
Midtjylland

Mendez (5'), Sucic (18', 45+1'), Oyarzabal (73' pen.), Oskarsson (90')
Ander Olasagasti (66')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Buksa (24' pen.), Osorio (38')
Buksa (30'), Paulinho (42')
Silva (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Sociedad and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawFC Midtjylland
56.26% (0.033000000000001 0.03)22.75% (-0.032 -0.03)20.98% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.03% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (0.132 0.13)45.4% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (0.127 0.13)67.73% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (0.058000000000007 0.06)15.94% (-0.057999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (0.106 0.11)45.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.72% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)72.49% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 56.26%
    FC Midtjylland 20.98%
    Draw 22.75%
Real SociedadDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.75%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 20.98%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Midtjylland

Real Sociedad
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
FC Midtjylland
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2025 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Midtjylland
1-2
Real Sociedad
Buksa (38')
Buksa (25'), Simsir (51'), Castillo (58')
Mendez (11' pen.), Kubo (31')
Balda Zubiri (2'), Mendez (61'), Aramburu (90+4'), Zubimendi (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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