Europa League
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fmidlog.png)
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Danny Loader
30'
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Danny Loader
55'
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Samu Omorodion
56'
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Mads Bech Sorensen
90'+8'
Porto vs FC Midtjylland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
63.35%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
19.2%
▲
(+0.05)
FC Midtjylland
17.46%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
60.18%
▼
(-0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.64%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 2.5
34.36%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 3.5
43.72%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 3.5
56.28%
▲
(+0.62)
Over 4.5
25.21%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 4.5
74.79%
▲
(+0.53)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
89.64%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
10.36%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
66.15%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
33.85%
▲
(+0.28)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5
67.13%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 0.5
32.87%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 1.5
30.56%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
69.44%
▲
(+0.60)
Score analysis
Porto
63.35%
Draw
19.2%
FC Midtjylland
17.46%
Porto
2-1
@
9.74%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.16)
1-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 63.35%
2-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.16)
1-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 63.35%
Draw
1-1
@
8.59%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.2%
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.2%
FC Midtjylland
1-2
@
4.78%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 17.46%
0-1 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 17.46%