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Europa League

Midtjylland
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
1 - 0
Union SG

Diao (18')
Gogorza (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khalaili (23'), Niang (49'), Mac Allister (89'), Ivanovic (90+2'), Burgess (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: SonderjyskE 3-2 Midtjylland
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 0-0 Gent
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawUnion SG
46.41% (0.719 0.72)24.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.09% (-0.738 -0.74)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.539 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.499 -0.5)45.71% (0.503 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (-0.478 -0.48)68.03% (0.482 0.48)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.105 0.11)19.8% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.167 0.17)51.86% (-0.162 -0.16)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.762 -0.76)29.16% (0.767 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.952 -0.95)65.1% (0.95699999999999 0.96)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 46.41%
    Union SG 29.09%
    Draw 24.49%
FC MidtjyllandDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 29.09%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Union SG

FC Midtjylland
57.6%
Draw
31.3%
Union SG
11.1%
99