Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.