Europa League
Oct 24, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Tiago Djalo 45'+2' goal
  • Nehuen Perez 54' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 75' goal
  • Alan Varela 77' yellowcard
  • Nico Gonzalez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stanley Nsoki 45'

Porto vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 8.00pm
Porto 3 - 3 Man Utd

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 5.45pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 0 Dynamo Kiev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result

Porto 71.04% (-0.66)
Draw 15.97% (+0.14)
Hoffenheim 13% (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.29% (+1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.05% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 27.95% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 51.32% (+0.92)
Under 3.5 48.68% (-0.92)
Over 4.5 31.96% (+0.86)
Under 4.5 68.03% (-0.86)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 93% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 7% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 74.39% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 25.61% (-0.14)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 65.9% (+1.29)
Under 0.5 34.1% (-1.29)
Over 1.5 29.21% (+1.36)
Under 1.5 70.79% (-1.36)

Score analysis

Porto 71.04%
Draw 15.97%
Hoffenheim 13%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.28)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.27)
4-1 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.97% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.33% (+0.15)
4-2 @ 2.88% (+0.11)
5-1 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.65% (-0.09)
5-2 @ 1.53% (+0.06)
6-1 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-95.17)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.83% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 2.39% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.97%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 3.67% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.38% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 13%