/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Farolog.png)
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Alan Varela
35'
-
Samu Omorodion
47'
-
Nico Gonzalez
51'
-
Galeno
57'
-
Deniz Gul
85'
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Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
90'+1'
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Guven Yalcin
32'
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Morlaye Sylla
32'
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Guven Yalcin
43'
Porto vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fsamu-omorodion.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
77.36%
▲
(+1.22)
Draw
14.31%
▼
(-0.52)
Arouca
8.34%
▼
(-0.71)
Both Teams to Score:
49.04%
▼
(-1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
34.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
43.67%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
56.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
25.16%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
74.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
92.76%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
7.25%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
73.74%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 1.5
26.26%
▼
(-0.67)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
52.87%
▼
(-1.54)
Under 0.5
47.14%
▲
(+1.54)
Over 1.5
17.41%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 1.5
82.59%
▲
(+1.19)
Score analysis
Porto
77.35%
Draw
14.31%
Arouca
8.34%
Porto
2-0
@
11.76%
▲
(+0.29)
3-0 @ 10.29% ▲ (+0.39)
1-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.35)
4-1 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.12)
6-1 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 77.35%
3-0 @ 10.29% ▲ (+0.39)
1-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.35)
4-1 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.12)
6-1 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 77.35%
Draw
1-1
@
6.74%
▼
(-0.22)
0-0 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 14.31%
0-0 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 14.31%
Arouca
0-1
@
2.57%
▼
(-0.12)
1-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 8.34%
1-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 8.34%