Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 29, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
4 - 0
Arouca

Omorodion (47'), Gonzalez (51'), Galeno (57'), Gul (85')
Varela (35'), Mora Carvalho (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yalcin (32'), Sylla (32')
Yalcin (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Porto
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Arouca
77.36% ( 1.22)	14.31% ( -0.51)	8.34% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.58% (

0.04)

34.42% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.67% (

0.04)

56.34% (

-0.04)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.76% (

0.26)

7.25% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.74% (

0.67)

26.26% (

-0.67)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.87% (

-1.53)

47.14% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.41% (

-1.18)

82.59% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

Porto 77.35%

Arouca 8.34%

Draw 14.31%

Porto	Draw	Arouca
2-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.12) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 77.35%	1-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.31%	0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 8.34%