Porto

2 - 1

Farense

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.25%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.