Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 15, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Farense

Galeno (48' pen.), Omorodion (75')
Galeno (89'), Neto (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tomane (51')
Jorge (45+1'), Silva (82'), Gonzalez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Farense
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.25%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	SC Farense
83.82% ( -0.31)	11.05% ( 0.16)	5.14% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 43.4% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.47% (

0.01)

31.53% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.99% (

0.01)

53.01% (

-0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.59% (

-0.05)

5.41% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.8% (

-0.16)

21.2% (

0.16)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.88% (

0.59)

54.12% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.65% (

0.36)

87.35% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Porto 83.81%

SC Farense 5.14%

Draw 11.05%

Porto	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 83.81%	1-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.52% Total : 11.05%	0-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.73% Total : 5.14%