Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.