Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 9.4% ( | 15.66% ( | 74.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( | 59.65% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.08% ( | 46.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% ( | 82.42% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.54% ( | 8.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.65% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3% ( 2-1 @ 2.81% ( 2-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.4% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.47% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.66% | 0-2 @ 12.1% ( 0-3 @ 9.97% ( 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 1-3 @ 7.54% ( 0-4 @ 6.16% ( 1-4 @ 4.66% ( 0-5 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 1-5 @ 2.3% ( 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0-6 @ 1.25% ( 1-6 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.38% Total : 74.93% |