Sporting Lisbon
Portuguese Super Cup | Final
Aug 3, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Porto

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 4
Porto

Inacio (6'), Goncalves (9'), Tcherno Quenda (24')
Quaresma (72'), Amorim (90+4'), Diomande (97')
FT
(aet)
Galeno (28', 66'), Gonzalez (64'), Jaime (101')
Gonzalez (45+2'), Varela (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Portuguese Super Cup clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Al-Nassr
Sunday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Porto had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%).

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
47.38% (2.493 2.49)22.37% (-0.182 -0.18)30.25% (-2.306 -2.31)
Both teams to score 65.18% (-0.577 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.96% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)35.04% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97% (-0.272 -0.27)57.04% (0.278 0.28)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.813 0.81)15.29% (-0.807 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (1.502 1.5)44% (-1.496 -1.5)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-1.428 -1.43)23.06% (1.435 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-2.145 -2.15)56.9% (2.15 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 47.38%
    Porto 30.26%
    Draw 22.37%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.229 0.23)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.41 0.41)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.357 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.209 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.213 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.104 0.1)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.329 -0.33)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.26%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
68.2%
Draw
17.8%
Porto
14.0%
107
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5.15pm
Final
Porto
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (25'), Taremi (100' pen.)
Mario (37'), Varela (66'), Pedro (90+1'), Conceicao (97'), Conceicao (103'), Evanilson (104'), Hjulmand (106')
Conceicao (98')
St Juste (20')
Santos (30'), Gyokeres (39'), Braganca (78'), Neto (81'), Paulinho (109'), Otavio (110')
St Juste (29')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (7'), Pepe (40')
Wendell (76'), Galeno (90')
Gyokeres (87', 88')
St Juste (45+2'), Hjulmand (90+2')
Edwards (90')
> Match Report
Dec 18, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Porto
Gyokeres (11'), Goncalves (60')
Santos (25'), Quaresma (57'), Inacio (70'), Esgaio (90+7'), Hjulmand (90+7')

Pepe (15'), Varela (17'), Taremi (68'), Conceicao (81')
Pepe (51')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 20
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Chermiti (90+7')
Uribe (60'), Pepe (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Porto
Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!