Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Chaves

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Chaves

Gyokeres (23' pen., 37'), Paulinho (55')
Hjulmand (45+7'), Esgaio (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sylla (82')
Pius (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 0-1 Famalicao
Friday, May 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawChaves
83.47% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)10.36% (0.253 0.25)6.17% (0.1869 0.19)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.34% (-0.584 -0.58)21.66% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.57% (-0.813 -0.81)40.43% (0.811 0.81)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.29% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)3.71% (0.1571 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.06% (-0.523 -0.52)15.94% (0.522 0.52)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)78.74% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 83.47%
    Chaves 6.17%
    Draw 10.36%
Sporting LisbonDrawChaves
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 8.04% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 7.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 6.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.18% (0.156 0.16)
5-0 @ 5.08% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-1 @ 4.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.79% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-1 @ 2.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
7-1 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
6-2 @ 1.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 83.47%
1-1 @ 4.45% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.57% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 10.36%
1-2 @ 1.91% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 1.35% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 6.17%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves

Sporting Lisbon
88.0%
Draw
4.0%
Chaves
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 17
Chaves
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Correia (62')
Paulinho (44'), Trincao (52'), Goncalves (56')
Coates (71'), Gyokeres (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 21
Chaves
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Teixeira (34'), Hernandez (90+6')
Goncalves (8' pen., 61'), Santos (70')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Chaves

Edwards (36'), Ugarte (45+3'), Goncalves (66'), Morita (73'), Coates (90+4')
Vitoria (60'), Juninho (63')
Pina (67'), Euller (82')
Fernandes (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 27
Chaves
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Luis (60')
Jefferson (34'), Luis (40'), Niltinho (99'), Martins (99')
Jefferson (52')
Phellype (23', 101'), Fernandes (80')
Gudelj (37'), Gaspar (99')
Ristovski (87')
Nov 11, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Chaves
Dost (23', 86' pen.)
Gudelj (45')
Niltinho (81')
William (83'), Paulinho (94')
Gallo (71')
rhs 2.0


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