Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 18.66% ( | 21.4% ( | 59.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( | 42.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( | 65.09% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( | 36.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% ( | 73.34% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( | 13.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% ( | 41.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 2-0 @ 2.56% ( 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.66% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.89% ( 1-3 @ 6.56% ( 0-3 @ 6.52% ( 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 1-4 @ 3.24% ( 0-4 @ 3.22% ( 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0-5 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 59.93% |