Europa League
Mar 14, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 46' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 59' goal
  • Emil Holm 78' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 33'

Atalanta BC vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2024 5.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Atalanta

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2024 5.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Atalanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 38.64% (+0.10)
Draw 24.98% (-0.03)
Sporting Lisbon 36.37% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.79% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.39% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 45.6% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 32.06% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 67.93% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 16.12% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 83.87% (-0.07)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 76.62% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 23.37% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 42.65% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 57.34% (-0.14)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 75.41% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.58% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.92% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.08% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 38.65%
Draw 24.97%
Sporting Lisbon 36.37%
Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.07% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 36.37%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 6, 2024 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Paulinho 17' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 14'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 39'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Scalvini 49'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 56'
Europa League
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • 7' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 23' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 38' yellowcard
  • Giorgio Scalvini 42' yellowcard
  • Sead Kolasinac 43' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 11'
  • goal Marcus Edwards 56'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+4'
Europa League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Viktor Gyokeres 76' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 84' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgio Scalvini 33'
  • goal Matteo Ruggeri 43'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 51'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 60'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 76'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 90'+2'