Serie A
Gameweek
21
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-
Matteo Darmian
22'
-
Matteo Darmian
26'
-
Lautaro Martinez
45'+1'
-
Federico Dimarco
54'
-
Davide Frattesi
71'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
76'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
10'
-
Ederson
45'
-
Berat Djimsiti
53'
-
Isak Hien
65'
-
Mitchel Bakker
71'
-
El Bilal Toure
89'
-
Ademola Lookman
90'+5'
Inter Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Inter Milan
60.09%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
22.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Atalanta BC
17.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
47.52%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.23%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
50.77%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
27.34%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
72.66%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
12.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
87.12%
▲
(+0.07)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
83.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
16.51%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
53.75%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
46.25%
▲
(+0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
56.92%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
43.08%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
20.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
79.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Inter Milan
60.08%
Draw
22.74%
Atalanta BC
17.16%
Inter Milan
1-0
@
12.81%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 11.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 60.08%
2-0 @ 11.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 60.08%
Draw
1-1
@
10.78%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.74%
0-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.74%
Atalanta BC
0-1
@
5.99%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.16%
1-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.16%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
11
-
Marten de Roon
26'
-
Sead Kolasinac
35'
-
Gian Piero Gasperini
40'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
61'
-
Rafael Toloi
85'
-
Rafael Toloi
90'+2'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
40'
-
Lautaro Martinez
57'
-
Denzel Dumfries
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
37
-
Romelu Lukaku
1'
-
Nicolo Barella
3'
-
Lautaro Martinez
77'
-
Mario Pasalic
36'
-
Andre Onana
90'+1'
(OG)
Coppa Italia
-
Matteo Darmian
57'
Serie A
Gameweek
15
-
Ademola Lookman
25'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
77'
-
Edin Dzeko
36'
-
Edin Dzeko
56'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
61'
(OG)
Serie A
Gameweek
22
-
Marten de Roon
37'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
84'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
42'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
62'
Serie A
Gameweek
6
-
Lautaro Martinez
5'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
12'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
43'
-
Nicolo Barella
70'
-
Edin Dzeko
71'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
4'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
19'
-
Duvan Zapata
21'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
30'
-
Rafael Toloi
38'
-
Davide Zappacosta
64'
-
Rafael Toloi
90'