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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Atalanta

Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Atalanta BC

An entertaining end-to-end contest is to be expected on Wednesday as an average of 3.4 goals have been scored across the last five Serie A meetings between these two in-form teams. Confidence is flowing among both camps, but it is difficult to look beyond a home victory for a rampant title-chasing Inter outfit, who boast an impressive head-to-head record over their Bergamo-based counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
60.09% (-0.052 -0.05) 22.75% (0.038 0.04) 17.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (-0.123 -0.12)50.77% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.108 -0.11)72.66% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)16.51% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)46.25% (0.108 0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.055 -0.05)43.08% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)79.36% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 60.08%
    Atalanta BC 17.16%
    Draw 22.74%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.16%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
78.0%
Draw
12.4%
Atalanta BC
9.7%
186
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
1-2
Inter Milan
Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Inter Milan
3-2
Atalanta
Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.30pm
Tsitsipas
Sinner
2.30pm
Djokovic
Ruud
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan31264175156082
2AC Milan31215560342668
3Juventus31188545242162
4Bologna311610545252058
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta301551055342150
7Lazio32154134135649
8Napoli31139948381048
9Torino31111193129244
10Fiorentina30127114235743
11Monza31119113441-742
12Genoa31911113438-438
13CagliariCagliari3179153252-2030
14Lecce31611142648-2229
15Udinese31416113047-1728
16Empoli3177172547-2228
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3169162842-1427
18FrosinoneFrosinone3168173861-2326
19SassuoloSassuolo3167183659-2325
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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