/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Mario Pasalic
9'
-
Gian Piero Gasperini
10'
-
Mario Pasalic
16'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
43'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
76'
-
Ederson
78'
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Felipe Anderson
45'
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Luis Alberto
45'+1'
-
Nicolo Rovella
47'
-
Ciro Immobile
84'
Atalanta BC vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F02%2Fgian-piero-gasperini.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Atalanta BC
61.56%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
22.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Lazio
16.4%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
48.12%
▼
(-0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.86%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
49.14%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
28.79%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
71.21%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 4.5
13.85%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 4.5
86.15%
▲
(+0.26)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
84.54%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
15.46%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
55.68%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
44.32%
▲
(+0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
56.92%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 0.5
43.07%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 1.5
20.65%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
79.35%
▲
(+0.46)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
61.55%
Draw
22.04%
Lazio
16.4%
Atalanta BC
1-0
@
12.43%
▲
(+0.18)
2-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 61.55%
2-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 61.55%
Draw
1-1
@
10.47%
0-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.04%
0-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.04%
Lazio
0-1
@
5.61%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.4%
1-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.4%
