Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
58.27% ( -0.14) | 24.87% ( 0.05) | 16.85% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 41.26% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.13% ( -0.03) | 58.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( -0.02) | 79.37% ( 0.02) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( -0.07) | 20.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.5% ( -0.11) | 52.5% ( 0.11) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.7% ( 0.11) | 48.3% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.55% ( 0.08) | 83.45% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 15.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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