Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 1
Frosinone

Piccoli (11'), Ramadani (89')
D'Aversa (17'), Blin (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jorge (33' pen.)
Okoli (24'), Ibrahimovic (38'), Barrenechea (43'), Romagnoli (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Lecce
Monday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Torino
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lecce.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Frosinone
49.46% ( 0.1)	25.6% ( 0.01)	24.93% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 49.95% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.86% (

-0.1)

53.14% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.28% (

-0.09)

74.71% (

0.09)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

0.01)

21.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44% (

0.01)

54.55% (

-0)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

-0.15)

36.36% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85% (

-0.15)

73.15% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Lecce 49.46%

Frosinone 24.93%

Draw 25.6%

Lecce	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.46%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.93%