Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lecce.