Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lecce.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Frosinone |
49.46% ( 0.1) | 25.6% ( 0.01) | 24.93% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.95% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.86% ( -0.1) | 53.14% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( -0.09) | 74.71% ( 0.09) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.5% ( 0.01) | 21.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.44% ( 0.01) | 54.55% ( -0) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.64% ( -0.15) | 36.36% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.85% ( -0.15) | 73.15% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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