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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Bologna logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Bologna

Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
41.59% (2.343 2.34)26.97% (0.98 0.98)31.44% (-3.318 -3.32)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-3.998 -4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-4.713 -4.71)54.99% (4.717 4.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-4.035 -4.04)76.26% (4.04 4.04)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)26.07% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (-1.234 -1.23)61.12% (1.239 1.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-4.52 -4.52)32.24% (4.525 4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-5.45 -5.45)68.74% (5.454 5.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.59%
    Bologna 31.44%
    Draw 26.97%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.3% (1.676 1.68)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.956 0.96)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.35 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 8.41% (1.432 1.43)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.599 -0.6)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.566 0.57)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.682 -0.68)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.657 -0.66)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.501 -0.5)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce
9.4%
Draw
46.9%
Bologna
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')