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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Bologna logo
Lecce
1 - 1
Bologna
Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Bologna

It will be intriguing to see if Bologna can maintain this fantastic start which has them in the running for the top four, but they are still yet to win away from home this season. Over two-thirds of Lecce's points have come at home, and the likes of Milan and Lazio have been unable to win here, so another Bologna away draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
41.59% (2.343 2.34) 26.97% (0.98 0.98) 31.44% (-3.318 -3.32)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-3.998 -4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-4.713 -4.71)54.99% (4.717 4.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-4.035 -4.04)76.26% (4.04 4.04)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)26.07% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (-1.234 -1.23)61.12% (1.239 1.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-4.52 -4.52)32.24% (4.525 4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-5.45 -5.45)68.74% (5.454 5.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.59%
    Bologna 31.44%
    Draw 26.97%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.3% (1.676 1.68)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.956 0.96)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.35 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 8.41% (1.432 1.43)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.599 -0.6)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.566 0.57)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.682 -0.68)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.657 -0.66)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.501 -0.5)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce
9.4%
Draw
46.9%
Bologna
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan24203159124763
2Juventus25166338172154
3AC Milan25164549311852
4Bologna26139439231648
5Atalanta BCAtalanta24143747232445
6Roma25125845301541
7Lazio2512493126540
8Fiorentina2511593729838
9Napoli2410683328536
10Torino259972322136
11Monza269982730-336
12Genoa268992831-333
13Empoli2667132240-1825
14Lecce2559112439-1524
15Udinese2631492540-1523
16FrosinoneFrosinone2565143252-2023
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2648142336-1320
18SassuoloSassuolo2555153148-1720
19CagliariCagliari2547142346-2319
20Salernitana2627172053-3313

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