/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
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Ylber Ramadani
45'
-
Marin Pongracic
84'
-
Nicola Sansone
89'
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Roberto Piccoli
90'+10'
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Alexis Saelemaekers
50'
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Charalampos Lykogiannis
68'
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Riccardo Calafiori
90'+8'
Lecce vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F35%2Flecce.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Lecce
41.59%
▲
(+2.35)
Draw
26.97%
▲
(+0.99)
Bologna
31.44%
▼
(-3.32)
Both Teams to Score:
50.1%
▼
(-4.00)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.01%
▼
(-4.72)
Under 2.5
54.99%
▲
(+4.72)
Over 3.5
23.74%
▼
(-4.04)
Under 3.5
76.26%
▲
(+4.04)
Over 4.5
10.57%
▼
(-2.60)
Under 4.5
89.43%
▲
(+2.60)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
73.93%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 0.5
26.07%
▲
(+0.92)
Over 1.5
38.88%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 1.5
61.12%
▲
(+1.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
67.76%
▼
(-4.52)
Under 0.5
32.24%
▲
(+4.53)
Over 1.5
31.26%
▼
(-5.45)
Under 1.5
68.74%
▲
(+5.46)
Score analysis
Lecce
41.59%
Draw
26.97%
Bologna
31.44%
Lecce
1-0
@
11.3%
▲
(+1.68)
2-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.96)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.34)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.59%
2-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.96)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.34)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.59%
Draw
1-1
@
12.79%
▲
(+0.45)
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+1.44)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.60)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+1.44)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.60)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
Bologna
0-1
@
9.51%
▲
(+0.57)
1-2 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.69)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.36)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.66)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.43)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.51)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.44%
1-2 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.69)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.36)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.66)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.43)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.51)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.44%