Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Bologna

Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Bologna
41.59% ( 2.34)	26.97% ( 0.98)	31.44% ( -3.32)

Both teams to score 50.1% (

-4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.01% (

-4.71)

54.99% (

4.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.74% (

-4.04)

76.26% (

4.04)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-0.91)

26.07% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

-1.23)

61.12% (

1.24)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76% (

-4.52)

32.24% (

4.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.26% (

-5.45)

68.74% (

5.45)

Score Analysis

Lecce 41.59%

Bologna 31.44%

Draw 26.97%

Lecce	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 1.68) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.96) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.59%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 1.43) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.6) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.66) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.5) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.44%