Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Frosinone |
| 42.12% ( | 27.02% ( | 30.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% | 55.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% | 76.58% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( | 25.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( | 60.98% ( |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( | 32.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( | 69.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.86% |