Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 35.23% ( | 24.55% ( | 40.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( | 43.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( | 66.13% ( |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( | 24.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( | 58.76% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( | 21.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( | 54.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.21% |