Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 27.8% ( | 25.06% ( | 47.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( | 48.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( | 71.04% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( | 31.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( | 68.2% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( | 20.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 3-0 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.13% |