Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
77.73% (![]() | 14.61% (![]() | 7.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.4% (![]() | 38.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.1% (![]() | 60.9% (![]() |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.89% (![]() | 8.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.51% (![]() | 28.49% (![]() |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.27% (![]() | 51.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.17% (![]() | 85.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 13.23% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.08% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 10.54% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 77.72% | 1-1 @ 6.95% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.88% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.61% | 0-1 @ 2.77% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.69% Total : 7.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Juventus | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 36 |
3 | AC Milan | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 29 |
4 | Roma | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 24 |
5 | Napoli | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Fiorentina | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
9 | Lazio | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Torino | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Monza | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
12 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Udinese | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 12 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 11 |
18 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
20 | Salernitana | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |