Serie A
Gameweek
32
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-
Gaetano Castrovilli
45'+2'
-
Dodo
62'
-
Alfred Duncan
66'
-
Christian Kouame
76'
-
Aleksa Terzic
88'
Fiorentina vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result
Fiorentina
77.73%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
14.61%
▲
(+0.05)
Sampdoria
7.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
44.35%
▲
(+0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.4%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
38.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
39.1%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
60.9%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
21.42%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
78.58%
▼
(-0.06)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
91.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
8.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
71.51%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
28.49%
▲
(+0.04)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5
48.27%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
51.73%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
14.17%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
85.83%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Fiorentina
77.72%
Draw
14.61%
Sampdoria
7.66%
Fiorentina
2-0
@
13.23%
▼
(-0.06)
3-0 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 77.72%
3-0 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 77.72%
Draw
1-1
@
6.95%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.61%
0-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.61%
Sampdoria
0-1
@
2.77%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 7.66%
1-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 7.66%
Head to Head
Coppa Italia
-
Antonin Barak
25'
Serie A
Gameweek
13
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
4'
-
Nikola Milenkovic
58'
Serie A
Gameweek
37
-
Alex Ferrari
16'
-
Ronaldo Vieira
18'
-
Fabio Quagliarella
30'
-
Morten Thorsby
71'
-
Abdelhamid Sabiri
84'
-
Simone Trimboli
89'
-
Omar Colley
90'+3'
-
Lucas Torreira
14'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
15'
-
Youssef Maleh
69'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
15
-
Jose Callejon
23'
-
Dusan Vlahovic
32'
-
Riccardo Sottil
45'
-
Manolo Gabbiadini
15'
-
Manolo Gabbiadini
42'
-
Omar Colley
74'
-
Alex Ferrari
82'
Serie A
Gameweek
22
-
Keita Balde
31'
-
Mikkel Damsgaard
57'
-
Fabio Quagliarella
71'
-
Lorenzo Venuti
34'
-
Dusan Vlahovic
37'
-
Erick Pulgar
61'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
79'
Serie A
Gameweek
3
-
Dusan Vlahovic
72'
-
Morten Thorsby
25'
-
Fabio Quagliarella
42'
-
Lorenzo Tonelli
70'
-
Albin Ekdal
73'
-
Valerio Verre
83'