Conference League
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-
Riccardo Sottil
78'
-
Gaetano Castrovilli
90'+2'
-
Afonso Sousa
9'
-
Kristoffer Velde
65'
-
Artur Sobiech
69'
Fiorentina vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result
Fiorentina
62.19%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
20.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Lech Poznan
16.91%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
52.83%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.59%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
43.4%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
34.2%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
65.8%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
17.67%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
82.33%
▲
(+0.09)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
86.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
13.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
59.67%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
40.32%
▼
(-0.05)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5
61%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
39%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
24.28%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
75.72%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Fiorentina
62.18%
Draw
20.9%
Lech Poznan
16.91%
Fiorentina
2-0
@
10.55%
▲
(+0.08)
1-0 @ 10.5% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 62.18%
1-0 @ 10.5% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 62.18%
Draw
1-1
@
9.89%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.9%
0-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.9%
Lech Poznan
0-1
@
4.92%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.91%
1-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.91%
Head to Head
Conference League
-
Kristoffer Velde
20'
-
Arthur Cabral
4'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
41'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
58'
-
Jonathan Ikone
63'
Europa League
-
Karol Linetty
26'
-
Josip Ilicic
42'
-
Josip Ilicic
83'
Europa League
-
Giuseppe Rossi
90'
-
Ante Rebic
91'
-
Dawid Kownacki
65'
-
Gergo Lovrencsics
71'
-
Maciej Gajos
82'
-
Lukasz Tralka
92'