Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
INEA Stadion
Lech Poznan2 - 0Djurgarden
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gracia (49'), Edvardsen (90+1')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Djurgarden 0-1 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
We said: Lech Poznan 1-0 Djurgardens IF
Lech Poznan have defeated some tricky opponents on route to this round-of-16 tie and will be confident of gaining a second-leg advantage by earning victory in front of their raucous home support on Thursday. Djurgardens are in the middle of their pre-season currently, which could hinder their ability to hit the ground running in Poland, but we believe the tie will not be out of their reach after proceedings at Stadion Poznan. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
38.12% ( -0.06) | 26.5% ( -0) | 35.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
