Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Djurgardens IF
38.12% ( -0.06)	26.5% ( -0)	35.37% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65% (

0.01)

52.35% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

74.04% (

-0)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.03)

26.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.99% (

-0.04)

62% (

0.04)

Djurgardens IF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

0.04)

28.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92% (

0.05)

64.08% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 38.12%

Djurgardens IF 35.37%

Draw 26.49%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Djurgardens IF
1-0 @ 10% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.37%