Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lech Poznan.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
38.57% ( 0.16)	23.56% ( 0.03)	37.86% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 63.17% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.32% (

-0.13)

38.67% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.02% (

-0.14)

60.98% (

0.14)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

0.02)

20.35% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.25% (

0.03)

52.75% (

-0.03)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

-0.15)

20.69% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71% (

-0.24)

53.29% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 38.57%

Bodo/Glimt 37.86%

Draw 23.56%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.57%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.86%