Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lech Poznan.