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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
INEA Stadion

Lech Poznan
4 - 1
Austria Vienna

Ishak (28'), Skoras (64'), Velde (76', 90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Braunoder (29')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Lech Poznan and Austria Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Lech Poznan
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Austria Vienna

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-0 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.76%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawAustria Vienna
36.98% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)22.57% (0.019000000000002 0.02)40.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.97% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.28% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)33.71% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.46% (-0.114 -0.11)55.54% (0.11 0.11)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)18.92% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)50.41% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)17.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)47.83% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 36.98%
    Austria Vienna 40.44%
    Draw 22.57%
Lech PoznanDrawAustria Vienna
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 40.44%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Austria Vienna

Lech Poznan
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Austria Vienna
23.1%
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