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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Víkingsvöllur

Vikingur
1 - 0
Lech Poznan

Sigurpalsson (45')
Tomasson (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murawski (71'), Pereira (82'), Rebocho (88')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Vikingur Reykjavik and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vikingur Reykjavik

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lech Poznan

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Vikingur ReykjavikDrawLech Poznan
35.17% (0.035000000000004 0.04)25.69% (-0.073 -0.07)39.14% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.17% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (0.324 0.32)48.91% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (0.294 0.29)71% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)
Vikingur Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (0.17399999999999 0.17)26.82% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (0.229 0.23)62.12% (-0.228 -0.23)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.169 0.17)24.6% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.233 0.23)59.1% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Vikingur Reykjavik 35.17%
    Lech Poznan 39.14%
    Draw 25.68%
Vikingur ReykjavikDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.17%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.14%

How you voted: Vikingur vs Lech Poznan

Vikingur Reykjavik
23.5%
Draw
29.4%
Lech Poznan
47.1%
17