Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.