UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 25, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Dudelange
1 - 1
Lech Poznan

(Lech Poznan win 3-1 on aggregate)

Kirch (36')
Kirch (27'), Decker (31'), da Cruz (32'), Hadji (58'), Agovic (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereira (60')
Velde (31')

Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between F91 Dudelange and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

F91 Dudelange

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Dudelange
Thursday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Lech Poznan

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Dudelange
Thursday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
F91 Dudelange	Draw	Lech Poznan
35.12% ( 0.05)	25.72% ( -0.07)	39.16% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95% (

0.33)

49.05% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

0.29)

71.12% (

-0.29)

F91 Dudelange Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

0.19)

26.92% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

0.24)

62.24% (

-0.24)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35% (

0.16)

24.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83% (

0.23)

59.17% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

F91 Dudelange 35.12%

Lech Poznan 39.16%

Draw 25.71%

F91 Dudelange	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.12%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.16%