Conference League
Nov 3, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kristoffer Velde 27' goal
  • Michal Skoras 51' goal
  • Michal Skoras 77' goal

Lech Poznan vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Austria Vienna 1 - 1 Lech Poznan

Villarreal

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Villarreal 2 - 2 H. Be'er Sheva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Lech Poznan 30.98% (-0.12)
Draw 22.77% (+0.04)
Villarreal 46.25% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.11% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.38% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 36.62% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 41.22% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 58.78% (+0.27)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 76.59% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 23.41% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 42.59% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 57.4% (+0.28)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 83.71% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 16.29% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 54.14% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 45.85% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 30.98%
Draw 22.76%
Villarreal 46.25%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.54% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.81% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.76%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 9.12% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.92% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.28% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 46.25%

Head to Head

Conference League
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
  • Samuel Chukwueze 32' goal
  • Alex Baena 36' goal
  • Alex Baena 40' goal
  • Francis Coquelin 89' goal
  • goal Michal Skoras 2'
  • goal Mikael Ishak 46'
  • goal Mikael Ishak 61'