UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK

INEA Stadion

Lech Poznan
3 - 0
Villarreal

Velde (27'), Skoras (51', 77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lech Poznan and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

Last Game: Austria Vienna 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Villarreal

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Villarreal
Sunday, October 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Villarreal
30.98% ( -0.11)	22.77% ( 0.04)	46.25% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 64.11% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.38% (

-0.25)

36.62% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.22% (

-0.27)

58.78% (

0.27)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-0.19)

23.41% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

-0.27)

57.4% (

0.27)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.71% (

-0.07)

16.29% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.14% (

-0.13)

45.85% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 30.98%

Villarreal 46.25%

Draw 22.76%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 30.98%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.76%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 46.25%