La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Villarreal

Williams (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Villarreal
48.95% ( 0.05)	27.15% ( 0.01)	23.9% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.5% (

-0.05)

59.49% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.15% (

-0.04)

79.85% (

0.04)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

-0)

24.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

-0)

58.88%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15% (

-0.08)

40.85% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

-0.07)

77.42% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.94%

Villarreal 23.9%

Draw 27.15%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.94%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.9%