UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
2 - 2
Be'er Sheva

Chukwueze (57'), Danjuma (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hemed (48' pen.), Yehezkel (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Villarreal and Hapoel Be'er Sheva, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

All competitions

Last Game: Be'er Sheva 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Hapoel Be'er Sheva
57.47% ( -0.15)	25.47% ( 0.02)	17.06% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 40.15% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.44% (

0.07)

60.56% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.33% (

0.05)

80.66% (

-0.05)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81% (

-0.03)

21.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.93% (

-0.05)

54.07% (

0.05)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.95% (

0.21)

49.05% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.01% (

0.15)

83.99% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 57.46%

Hapoel Be'er Sheva 17.06%

Draw 25.46%

Villarreal	Draw	Hapoel Be'er Sheva
1-0 @ 16.12% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 57.46%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.06%