Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
| 32.98% ( | 27.91% ( | 39.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.83% ( | 58.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.17% ( | 78.82% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( | 69.37% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( | 28.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( | 64.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.1% |