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Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
5 - 0
Austria Vienna

Baena (18'), Danjuma (43'), Luis Morales (76', 80', 88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Villarreal and Austria Vienna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

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Last Game: Elche 1-3 Villarreal
Saturday, January 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Next Game: Betis vs. Villarreal
Saturday, January 17 at 8pm in La Liga
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Austria Vienna

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Last Game: Austria Vienna 5-1 Donaufeld
Saturday, January 10 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAustria Vienna
57.3% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)24.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)18.09% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.145 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.099000000000004 0.1)56.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.080000000000002 0.08)77.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.61% (0.0029999999999966 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)51.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (0.183 0.18)45.28% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84% (0.143 0.14)81.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.29%
    Austria Vienna 18.09%
    Draw 24.61%
VillarrealDrawAustria Vienna
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 18.09%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Austria Vienna

Villarreal
79.3%
Draw
15.5%
Austria Vienna
5.2%
58