Conference League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alex Baena 18' goal
  • Arnaut Danjuma 43' goal
  • Jose Luis Morales 76' goal
  • Jose Luis Morales 80' goal
  • Jose Luis Morales 88' goal

Villarreal vs Austria Vienna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 8.00pm
H. Be'er Sheva 1 - 2 Villarreal

Austria Vienna

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 8.00pm
Lech Poznan 4 - 1 Austria Vienna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 57.3% (-0.12)
Draw 24.62% (+0.01)
Austria Vienna 18.09% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.99% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.58% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 56.42% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.57% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 77.43% (-0.09)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 80.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.56% (+0.01)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5 54.72% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 45.28% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 18.84% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 81.16% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Villarreal 57.29%
Draw 24.61%
Austria Vienna 18.09%
Villarreal
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.07% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 57.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.7% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.61%
Austria Vienna
0-1 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.54% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.09%