Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Villarreal logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
5 - 0
Austria Vienna

Baena (18'), Danjuma (43'), Luis Morales (76', 80', 88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Villarreal and Austria Vienna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Villarreal
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Austria Vienna

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAustria Vienna
57.3% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)24.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)18.09% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.145 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.099000000000004 0.1)56.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.080000000000002 0.08)77.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.61% (0.0029999999999966 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)51.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (0.183 0.18)45.28% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84% (0.143 0.14)81.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.29%
    Austria Vienna 18.09%
    Draw 24.61%
VillarrealDrawAustria Vienna
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 18.09%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Austria Vienna

Villarreal
79.3%
Draw
15.5%
Austria Vienna
5.2%
58