Villarreal

5 - 0

Austria Vienna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.