Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena
  • goal David Silva 53'
  • goal Aritz Elustondo 62'

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheriff Tiraspol

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Sheriff Tiraspol 0 - 2 Man Utd

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Omonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result

Sheriff Tiraspol 19.78% (-2.04)
Draw 24.63% (+1.23)
Real Sociedad 55.59% (+0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.57% (-6.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.59% (-7.23)
Under 2.5 54.41% (+7.23)
Over 3.5 24.21% (-6.37)
Under 3.5 75.78% (+6.37)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5 57.85% (-6.23)
Under 0.5 42.14% (+6.23)
Over 1.5 21.44% (-5.87)
Under 1.5 78.56% (+5.87)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 80.5% (-2.41)
Under 0.5 19.5% (+2.41)
Over 1.5 48.62% (-4.08)
Under 1.5 51.38% (+4.09)

Score analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 19.78%
Draw 24.62%
Real Sociedad 55.58%
Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 7.1% (+0.82)
2-1 @ 5.02% (-0.68)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.50)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.54)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 19.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.50)
0-0 @ 8.22% (+2.08)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.93)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.62%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 13.43% (+2.59)
0-2 @ 10.98% (+1.41)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.32)
0-3 @ 5.98% (+0.35)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.61)
0-4 @ 2.45% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.73)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.44)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 55.58%