Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.