Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.