Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
| 62.84% ( | 21.44% ( | 15.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( | 47.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( | 70.03% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( | 14.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.27% ( | 42.73% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.81% ( | 43.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.55% ( | 79.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 7.48% ( 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 5-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.4% Total : 62.83% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.72% |