Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
| 70.08% ( | 18.59% ( | 11.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( | 45.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( | 67.69% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( | 11.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( | 36.88% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.56% ( | 48.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.45% ( | 83.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 4-0 @ 4.99% ( 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 70.06% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 2-2 @ 3.43% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.59% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 1-2 @ 3.2% ( 0-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.32% |