Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
| 44.76% ( | 27.39% ( | 27.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% ( | 57.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( | 78.66% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( | 25.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( | 60.74% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% | 36.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.67% | 73.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% ( 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.84% |