Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
INEA Stadion

Lech Poznan
0 - 0
Be'er Sheva

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lech Poznan and Hapoel Be'er Sheva, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Be'er Sheva 1-2 Villarreal
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
41.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)23.64% (0.0040000000000013 0)35.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 62.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)39.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)61.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.45% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.29% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.36% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)55.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 41.19%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 35.18%
    Draw 23.63%
Lech PoznanDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.18%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Be'er Sheva

Lech Poznan
86.3%
Draw
9.8%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
3.9%
51
rhs 2.0


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