La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Alex Baena 56' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Melero 31'

Villarreal vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2022 8.00pm
Barcelona 3 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson

Almeria

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2022 6.00pm
Almeria 3 - 2 Girona
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
El Bilal Toure

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 68.49% (-0.30)
Draw 18.88% (+0.11)
Almeria 12.62% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.67% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.65% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 43.34% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.25% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 65.74% (+0.04)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 88.4% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 11.59% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 63.43% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 36.57% (+0.20)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 55.05% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 44.95% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 19.11% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 80.89% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Villarreal 68.48%
Draw 18.88%
Almeria 12.62%
Villarreal
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.68% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 68.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.98% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 18.88%
Almeria
0-1 @ 4.17% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.59% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 12.62%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
8
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 23' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 30' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 36' goal
  • Carlos Bacca 45' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 47' goal
  • Gerard Moreno 67' goal
  • Carlos Bacca 83' goal
  • Dani Raba 89' goal
  • yellowcard Adri Castellano 40'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Arzura 81'
Copa del Rey
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)
  • Angel Trujillo 43' yellowcard
  • Nunez Chema 52' goal
  • Sekou Gassama 86' goal
  • Sekou Gassama 90' goal
  • Yan Brice Eteki 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Gaspar 49'
  • goal Santi Cazorla 67'
  • goal Francisco Callejon 78' (OG)
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 83'
La Liga
Mar 15, 2015 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mauro Dos Santos 32' yellowcard
  • Miguel Angel Corona 34' yellowcard
  • Mauro Dos Santos 40' redcard
  • Fran Velez 64' yellowcard
  • Verza 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Rukavina 15'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Dorado 23'
  • yellowcard Jaume Costa 37'
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 54'
  • redcard Jaume Costa 55'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pina 85'
La Liga
Oct 19, 2014 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ikechukwu Uche 23' goal
  • Jaume Costa 26' yellowcard
  • Manuel Trigueros 39' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Paulista 56' yellowcard
  • Ikechukwu Uche 59' goal
  • Mario Gaspar 74' yellowcard
  • Denis Cheryshev 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramon Azeez 30'
  • yellowcard Verza 80'
La Liga
Jan 19, 2014 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ikechukwu Uche 3' goal
  • Ikechukwu Uche 47' yellowcard
  • Jaume 82' yellowcard
  • Bruno Soriano 88' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dubarbier 70'
La Liga
Aug 19, 2013 9.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rafita 35' yellowcard
  • Rodri 40' goal
  • Rodri 75' goal
  • Hernan Pellerano 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Pereira 65'
  • goal Giovani dos Santos 83'
  • goal Jonathan Pereira 86'