La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Almeria3 - 2Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Girona
With both sides desperate for the win, we are predicting a cagey game, with neither side wanting to overcommit and leave themselves vulnerable on the counter. Almeria have looked better going forward in recent weeks, while Girona are always dangerous with Stuani on the pitch, so a score draw would seem to be a plausible outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Girona |
46.36% ( 0.41) | 26.5% ( -0.12) | 27.13% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
