La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
3 - 2
Girona

Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Girona
46.36% ( 0.41)	26.5% ( -0.12)	27.13% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 49.14% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.9% (

0.28)

55.1% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

0.23)

76.35% (

-0.23)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

0.32)

23.73% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.13% (

0.45)

57.87% (

-0.45)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

-0.08)

35.56% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

-0.09)

72.33% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Almeria 46.35%

Girona 27.13%

Draw 26.5%

Almeria	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.35%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.13%