La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
2 - 1
Real Valladolid

Jesus (21'), Romeu (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Monchu (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Valladolid 1-0 Almeria
Monday, September 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Espanyol	4	-3	4
16	Real Valladolid	4	-6	4
17	Sevilla	4	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Real Valladolid
45.46% ( -0.07)	26.52% ( 0.03)	28.01% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.7% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.32% (

-0.08)

54.68% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24% (

-0.07)

76% (

0.07)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

-0.07)

23.98% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

-0.1)

58.22% (

0.1)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

-0.01)

34.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65% (

-0.01)

71.35% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Girona 45.46%

Real Valladolid 28.02%

Draw 26.52%

Girona	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.46%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.02%