Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
57.95% | 23.66% | 18.39% |
Both teams to score 47.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% | 74.19% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.1% | 17.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.3% | 48.7% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.36% | 42.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.02% | 78.98% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.95% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.82% Total : 18.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |