Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 57.95% | 23.66% | 18.39% |
| Both teams to score 47.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% | 52.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% | 74.19% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% | 17.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.36% | 42.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% | 78.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.95% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.82% Total : 18.39% |