Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
17.92% ( 0.18) | 24.97% ( 0.18) | 57.11% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.16% ( -0.41) | 57.84% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.43% ( -0.32) | 78.57% ( 0.32) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.66% ( -0.02) | 46.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.02% ( -0.02) | 81.98% ( 0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% ( -0.3) | 20.24% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.42% ( -0.49) | 52.58% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 14.98% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 57.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |