Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 17.92% ( | 24.97% ( | 57.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( | 57.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( | 78.57% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.66% ( | 46.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.02% ( | 81.98% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( | 20.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( | 52.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-1 @ 4.43% ( 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 3-1 @ 1.14% ( 3-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.45% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 2-2 @ 3.54% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 14.98% ( 0-2 @ 11.96% ( 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0-3 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 57.1% |