Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
30.1% ( 0.05) | 29.77% ( -0.03) | 40.13% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 41.9% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.01% ( 0.1) | 64.99% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.11% ( 0.07) | 83.88% ( -0.08) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.39% ( 0.1) | 38.61% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% ( 0.09) | 75.35% ( -0.09) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( 0.04) | 31.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( 0.05) | 68.18% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.76% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |