Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 30.1% ( | 29.77% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.01% ( | 64.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.11% ( | 83.88% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( | 38.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.64% ( | 75.35% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( | 31.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( | 68.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( 2-2 @ 3.65% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.76% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 40.12% |