Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 36.05% | 31% | 32.95% |
| Both teams to score 39.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.84% | 68.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.96% | 86.03% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% | 36.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% | 72.82% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% | 38.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% | 74.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 7.18% 2-1 @ 6.9% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2% Total : 36.05% | 0-0 @ 13.77% 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.32% Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.99% | 0-1 @ 13.24% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.64% Total : 32.94% |