La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona
4 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Dembele (12'), Roberto (18'), Lewandowski (22'), Torres (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Reaction

Barcelona manager Xavi pictured in September 2022

Xavi hails Ousmane Dembele for performance against Athletic Bilbao

Barcelona boss Xavi hails Ousmane Dembele for his performance in Sunday's 4-0 victory over Athletic Bilbao in La Liga.

Oct 24, 20:26

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 2-2 Athletic Bilbao
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
60.66% ( -0.05)	21.2% ( -0.03)	18.13% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.34% (

0.29)

42.65% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.94% (

0.28)

65.06% (

-0.28)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39% (

0.08)

13.61% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.24% (

0.15)

40.76% (

-0.15)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.87% (

0.26)

37.12% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.09% (

0.26)

73.91% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 60.65%

Athletic Bilbao 18.13%

Draw 21.2%

Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.65%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.2%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 18.13%