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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
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Athletic Bilbao logo

Barcelona
4 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Dembele (12'), Roberto (18'), Lewandowski (22'), Torres (73')
Gavi (28'), Busquets (71'), Garcia (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

de Marcos (16'), Vesga (89')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Getafe 2-2 Athletic Bilbao
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Barcelona 3-1 Athletic Bilbao

 Athletic have a lot of quality in the final third of the field and will fancy their chances of scoring on Sunday night despite Barcelona's impressive defensive record this season. That said, it is difficult to back against the hosts considering their quality, and we are expecting Xavi's side to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAthletic Bilbao
60.66% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 21.2% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 18.13% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.32% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.286 0.29)42.65% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.94% (0.283 0.28)65.06% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (0.076000000000008 0.08)13.61% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.24% (0.15 0.15)40.76% (-0.152 -0.15)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.26300000000001 0.26)37.12% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.263 0.26)73.91% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 60.65%
    Athletic Bilbao 18.13%
    Draw 21.2%
BarcelonaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 60.65%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.2%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao

Barcelona
90.0%
Draw
6.8%
Athletic Bilbao
3.2%
190
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Barcelona
4-0
Athletic Bilbao
Aubameyang (37'), Dembele (73'), De Jong (90'), Depay (90+3')
Busquets (48'), Pique (70')

Balenziaga (54')
Jan 20, 2022 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Barcelona
Muniain (2', 105+1' pen.), Martinez (86')
Garcia (30'), de Marcos (104'), Williams (119'), Muniain (120')
Torres (20'), Pedri (90+3')
Pique (76'), Pedri (97'), de Jong (104'), Alba (105')
Aug 21, 2021 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Barcelona
Martinez (50')
Martinez (20')
Depay (75')
Garcia (28'), Alba (76')
Garcia (90+3')
Apr 17, 2021 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-4
Barcelona

Garcia (39'), Berchiche (90')
Griezmann (60'), De Jong (63'), Messi (68', 72')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Barcelona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Messi (20'), Griezmann (75')
de Jong (47'), Alba (51')
Alba (49' og.)
Garcia (32'), Alvarez (39'), Garcia Toral (39'), Capa (77')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


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