UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Austria Vienna
1 - 1
Lech Poznan

Keles (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ishak (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Austria Vienna and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria Vienna

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-1 Villarreal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Lech Poznan

Last Game: Be'er Sheva 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Austria Vienna	Draw	Lech Poznan
40.26% ( 0.22)	28.04% ( 0.04)	31.7% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 47.04% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.11% (

-0.19)

58.89% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.62% (

-0.14)

79.39% (

0.15)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37% (

0.04)

28.63% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.56% (

0.04)

64.44% (

-0.04)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

-0.28)

34.09% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

-0.31)

70.77% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Austria Vienna 40.26%

Lech Poznan 31.7%

Draw 28.03%

Austria Vienna	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.26%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.7%