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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
0 - 0
Lech Poznan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions
Last Game: Stromsgodset 2-4 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, November 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 59.16%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 20.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawLech Poznan
59.16% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)20.31% (0.021999999999998 0.02)20.54% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.93% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.32% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.68% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.37% (0.046999999999997 0.05)56.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)11.54% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.55% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)36.45% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.11499999999999 0.11)30% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (0.14 0.14)66.11% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 59.16%
    Lech Poznan 20.54%
    Draw 20.31%
Bodo/GlimtDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.21% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.98%
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.31%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 20.54%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Lech Poznan

Bodo/Glimt
54.2%
Draw
14.4%
Lech Poznan
31.4%
118